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$P(DOOM): risk signals report

Solana token mint ARPwPPWbaj3FYBf6k1Lt2jqRkv9JJUg3Hxav5aHKTEem. Automated analysis of public data, last refreshed 2026-10-19 20:23 UTC. These are risk signals, not a verdict.

What we observed

  • Price fell 93.1% from a $1.24M peak market cap.
  • Creator wallet moved 100% of its holdings.
  • Creator wallet sold about 6.7% of supply.
  • 8.4% of supply was bought by other wallets in the launch slot (launch bundle).
  • 4 insider wallets flagged by RugCheck.
  • Peak market cap was over 100x the maximum liquidity on record (a thin, easily moved price).

Same-minute first buyers

98 wallets made their first buy within the same minute, in the launch minute (buyers #1–#98 of 98 first-time buyers we read); together those first buys were 76.2% of supply. 25 of them also made an early first buy on 17 other coins on this site (excluding 13 wallets that appear early on most launches, likely trading bots). (Busy launch: only the first 1,000 transactions were read.)

Context: one researcher's analysis (White Whale Labs) found that copying such groups two minutes late lost 41% per coin. Read their study.

Data

Canary Score65/100
Launchpadpumpfun
Peak market cap$1.24M
Market cap at last refresh$4.4K
Drop from peak-93.1%
Peak → bottom?
Launch-slot bundle8.4%
Funding-linked cluster0.0%
Creator moved holdings100.0%
Sold during crash?
Liquidity at last refresh$5.1K
Max liquidity seen$5.2K
Buzz (market mood)n/a

What happened after we scored it

First scored2026-10-18 15:26 UTC (score 65)
+24h+0.0%
+7dpending (due 2026-10-25 15:26 UTC)
Since then-3.8%

Market prices from GeckoTerminal, measured from the first time CanaryTape scored this coin. See the track record.

Check it yourself

Other tokens logged the same day

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