Track record

What happened to each coin's price after CanaryTape scored it. Every time the data is rebuilt we log each coin's Canary Score, price and time. Later we look up the real market price about 24 hours and 7 days after the first time we scored it. Nothing is estimated: if a horizon hasn't passed yet, it says so.

Read this first. So far every coin here was added to our log after @canarytape had already reported a crash. The numbers show what prices did after that, not whether a score warned anyone beforehand. Small samples swing a lot; each row shows its sample size.

Full Canary Score (all 10 checks)

The same ten checks and caps as the checker on the home page, scored at build time.

Backfill from earlier builds (partial scores)

Older data builds didn't store the full score. We rebuilt it from the checks those builds saved (launch bundle, insiders, liquidity, and later linked cluster and creator sells), with at least 3 of the 10 checks known. Missing checks don't take points off, so these scores are probably higher than a full score would have been. Use them as context only.

What happened since we scored it

One line per coin, measured from the first time we scored it. “Since” uses the latest hourly price on record.

Method

• Snapshot: each data build saves every coin's mint, Canary Score, how many of the 10 checks had data, whether a cap applied, its DexScreener price and market cap, and the time.
• Outcome: the close of the last hourly GeckoTerminal candle at or before the first scored time, compared with the same at +24h and +7d. If no trade happened in that hour, the last traded price stands. A coin counts once, at its first score.
• Buckets: 0–25, 26–50, 51–75, 76–100. “Died” means the price fell more than 80%. Medians and shares come only from horizons that have passed. Under 10 coins is a very small sample; under 30 is small.
• Market data only. These numbers are not advice, not a prediction, and say nothing about anyone's intent. More in About.