$XTO: risk signals report

What we observed

• Price fell 100.0% from a $1104.92M peak market cap in 235 minutes.
• Creator wallet moved 100% of its holdings.
• Creator wallet sold about 79.3% of supply.
• 20.5% of supply was bought by other wallets in the launch slot (Jito bundle detected).
• About $1.09M was sold between peak and bottom.
• Peak market cap was over 100x the maximum liquidity on record (a thin, easily moved price).

Same-minute first buyers

70 wallets made their first buy within the same minute, in the launch minute (buyers #12–#81 of 257 first-time buyers we read); 67 of them excluding 3 that appear early on most launches (likely trading bots); together those first buys were 0% of supply. 30 of them also made an early first buy on 7 other coins on this site (excluding 13 wallets that appear early on most launches, likely trading bots). (Busy launch: only the first 1,000 transactions were read.)

Context: one researcher's analysis (White Whale Labs) found that copying such groups two minutes late lost 41% per coin. Read their study.

More on-chain facts

Updated 2026-10-20. Computed from public Solana transactions, DexScreener and GeckoTerminal data. These are observations, not a judgment of anyone. Shared funding wallets can be exchanges or services; tokens leaving a wallet may be transfers, not sales.

Creator wallet: other launches

No other pump.fun token creations found in the creator wallet's first 2814 transactions.

Who funded the creator wallet

Creator 6e8L…GcvK, first seen 2026-10-18 01:03 UTC.

• Hop 1 (first incoming SOL): FuZ2…EywU — 0.492 SOL
• Hop 2 (who funded hop 1): not found

Are the early wallets already out?

Counting only buys of at least 0.1 SOL and excluding 8 wallets that buy early on most launches (likely trading bots; 24 smaller first buys skipped, 50 earliest transactions read): first 3 buying wallets (first buys 2026-10-18 01:12 UTC, over 0 min) bought 20.5% of supply. For the 3 wallets whose balance we could read, 100% of those tokens are no longer in the wallet (sold or moved), and 3 hold under 1% of what they first bought.

Buyer wallet age and size

Of the first 3 buyers, 1 wallets were under 24 hours old at their first buy (1 under 1 hour), and 0 spent under 0.05 SOL. New buyers by time since first buy: 0–10 min: 3.

Top holders linked by funding

Among the top 19 holder wallets (6.3% of supply):

• 2 wallets first funded by 2MdN…yDNE hold 0.0% of supply